Archives for posts with tag: Max Scherzer

The Nationals’ playoff push took some water this past week when they lost five of seven to fellow contenders, all but assuring Atlanta of a second straight NL East title.  The incredible 11-10 comeback win against the New York Mets feels like months ago, but it kept the Nats from getting swept.  And in a world where one isn’t going to win the division but still leads the Wild Card by three games, you want to win every series but you most definitely don’t want to get swept.  Sunday, the Nats beat back the brooms against the Braves thanks to Max Scherzer on the mound and the bats finally breaking out after being dormant all series.  Brace yourself for a bumpy ride as the Nats jet tries to land on the playoff runway.

Digesting the Division- Atlanta’s Magic Number is 11 with 18 left.  For those curious Sunday’s loss ended a 17-2 stretch.  If things break the right or wrong way (depending on your perspective) the Braves could clinch the division Saturday or Sunday in DC.  The Nats (79-63 after a 2-5 week) get AL Central-leading Minnesota before the Braves drop by the district.  Philadelphia (74-68, 4-3) and the New York Mets (72-70, 3-3) find themselves on the outer reaches of the Wild Card pack.  Miami?  Now 51-91, the Marlins have clinched last place for the second straight year and Manager Don Mattingly dips under the .500 mark for his career (he’s now at 716-719).

The Wild, Wild Card- the Nats lead the Chicago Cubs by three games for home field while the Cubs are 1.5 games better than Arizona for the final playoff spot in the NL.  The Nats easily have the toughest schedule with 17 of 20 games coming against winning clubs, although they will play 11 of those 17 at home.  The Cubs have 7/20 against .500+ teams, with all seven games coming at Wrigley Field.  Arizona plays 12/19 against losing clubs, and that’s including a four game series at the slowly sinking Mets.  Milwaukee (74-68, 2GB) plays an equal amount of games against both types of teams.  Philadelphia (74-68) has 11 of its final 20 on the road against winning clubs.

Harper’s Weekly- Bryce batted .188 and hurt his hand.  He’s now at .254 for the season with 30 HR and a career-high 101 RBI.  Harper’s 11 shy of reaching his career high of 169 strikeouts.  And there are still five games against the Nats in DC later this month.

O’s Woes- the sweep by Texas drops the Birds to 46-97, or on pace to win 52 games this year.  While surpassing last year’s 47 wins is almost a certainty, there are those of us who have seen September swoons that have taken much better teams from 63-63 to 67-95 in 2002 and from 71-68 to 75-87 two years ago.  So nothing is a given as of yet.

Last Week’s Heroes- Asdrubal Cabrera hit .450 with 2 HR and 8 RBI while Anthony Rendon batted .333 with a team-high 6 runs and 3 RBI. Somebody should sign him.  Ryan Zimmerman and Kurt Suzuki had clutch hits in the team’s crazy comeback Tuesday against the Mets.  Max Scherzer got the no-decision that night, but struck out 8 over 6 innings Sunday to notch his first win since the All Star Break.  Sean Doolittle tossed two scoreless innings of relief.  But Aaron Barrett outshone them all.  The reliever tossed one scoreless inning, completing his comeback from Tommy John Surgery and a broken humerus bone.  Great to have you back in the bigs, Aaron.

Last Week’s Humbled- Joe Ross coughed up 7 runs over 3.2 innings while Anibal Sanchez, Roenis Elias and Javy Guerra each posted ERA of 10+.  Gerardo Parra (1 for 13) and Matt Adams (1 for 15) had market correction weeks at the plate after enjoying hot flashes this season.

Game to Watch- Friday the Braves come to town with a chance to provide the NL East knockout blow, and they’ll be starting rookie Mike Soroka (11-4, 2.67 ERA).  Max Scherzer will be on the mound for the Nats. Enough said.

Game to Miss- Saturday afternoon Joe Ross and Mike Foltynewich bring a combined 10.45 ERA to the mound, while out on Route 50 Navy will be kicking off AAC play by hosting East Carolina.  Go Mids!

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The Nationals reach Labor Day four and a half games in front of the NL Wildcard pack thanks to their sweep of Miami.  Friday’s walk-off win turned into Saturday’s shutout and wrapped up with Sunday’s slugfest.  That’s the good news; the bad news is that the Nats face the toughest schedule over the final month of the regular season with 24 of their 27 games coming against teams with winning records as of today.  Bring it on…

Digesting the Division- will Atlanta ever lose again?  The Braves won four of six last week to see their NL East lead remain at five and a half games.  They have their work cut out for them in September, as the defending division champs play seven games against the Nationals, seven against Philadelphia and three against the New York Mets.  Speaking of the Phillies and Mets, those two teams are now double digits off the pace.  Miami?  The Marlins own a tragic number of six to clinch last place.  Get used to it.

The Wild, Wild Card Race- as mentioned the Nats play 89% of their remaining schedule against clubs with winning records.  How about the other contenders?  The Chicago Cubs (73-63, 4-2 last week) play 11 of their remaining 26 games against winning clubs, most notably seven against fellow NL Central contenders Milwaukee and St. Louis.  Philadelphia (70-65, 3-3) play 20 of 27 against winning teams, with 15 coming against the East Division trio of Atlanta, the Nationals and Mets.  Milwaukee (70-66, 3-3) may get a reprieve with 17 of their final 26 games coming against losing ballclubs while Arizona (70-67, 5-1) may stay hot thanks to a finishing stretch of 18 September games against sub-.500 foes.  The Mets (69-67, 2-4) have an uphill battle with 16 of their remaining 26 games against winning foes.

Harper’s Weekly- proud new papa Bryce hit .308 with 2 homers and 5 RBI, increasing his season totals to .257, 29 and 97.  He’s on pace to reach career highs in doubles and RBI, as well as in strikeouts (Harper’s 15 shy of last year’s 169 whiffs).  Bryce and the Phillies play five games over four days in DC later this month.

O’s Woes- the Birds drop two of three in Kansas City to fall 46 games under .500.  While they’ll cruise past (as best as a last place team can cruise past) last year’s 47-win total, the Orioles need to finish 18-8 in order to avoid a 100-loss campaign.  Yes, I wrote that in all seriousness.

Last Week’s Heroes- Anthony Rendon hit .563 with 3 homers and 7 RBI while Juan Soto batted .474 with 9 RBI.  Stephen Strasburg won his career-high 16th of the season by tossing eight scoreless innings.  And Sean Doolittle is back.

Last Week’s Humbled- Tanner Rainey and Daniel Hudson had issues on the mound. Trea Tuner hit .182 while Gerardo Parra, Baby Shark and all, went 1 for 18 at the plate.

Game to Watch- Tuesday evening Max Scherzer makes his third start since coming off of the injured list while the Mets pitch Jacob deGrom.

Game to Miss- Sunday Scherzer starts against Atlanta, but at 1:20 p.m. EDT I think I’ll be watching the regular season return of the NFL.

Well, that was one heck of a weekend at Wrigley.  The Nationals move four games in front of the Chicago Cubs thanks to their sweep, and the hottest team in baseball remains on track to extend its year beyond September.  But despite the 26-15 mark since the All Star Break, there are clouds off in the distance once one reaches Labor Day. As in after September 1, the Nats will play just three games against clubs with losing records.  And the bullpen still springs leaks at inopportune times.  Brace yourselves for the ride ahead, while basking in what has turned out to be one awesome August (16-6 mark is the best in the NL).

Dissecting the Division- somehow the Nats haven’t been able to make a dent in Atlanta’s NL East lead.   Before falling to Colorado in a make-up game Monday the Braves had won eight straight.  With seven games remaining against the leaders over the final month of the season, it’s not over yet.  Philadelphia’s five games behind the Nats and 11 behind the Braves.  The New York Mets?  A half game behind the Phillies thanks to their latest three game losing streak. Miami at 47-82 has an elimination number of one.

The Wild, Wild Card- the Nats lead the Chicago Cubs by four games, and after the Cubs there are five teams within five games of the final playoff spot in the NL.  Be ready next week for a schedule breakdown.

Harper’s Weekly- Congratulations to the former National as he enjoys his paternity leave.  All the best to Bryce’s roster addition, and even though he’s a foe for the time being in Nats Nation, one wishes the best for the Harpers.

Last Week’s Heroes- Anthony Rendon took NL Player of the Week honors after hitting .483 with 2 homers and 7 RBI, upping his total to 29 and 104-or on pace to hit 37 with 132.  Someone should sign him.  Howie Kendrick hit .500 while Asdrubal Cabrera notched 11 RBI and Juan Soto scored 13 runs.  Anibal Sanchez tossed 8.1 innings of one-hit ball while Patrick Corbin threw 8 scoreless innings.

Last Week’s Humbled- what would a Nationals week be without a bullpen blowout?  Fernando Rodney blew a save Sunday against the Cubs, Wander Suero posted an ERA of 10.13 and Matt Grace’s ERA was 13.50.  Brian Dozier hit 1-for-14 while Kurt Suzuki batted 3-for-17.

Game to Watch- Wednesday Max Scherzer pitches against Asher Wojciechowski.  Let’s see how Max fares in his second start since coming off of the Injured List.

Game to Miss– Saturday Joe Ross pitches against last-place Miami. College Football officially kicks off its season (pay no attention to last week’s misguided matchup between Miami and Florida) this week and Saturday will feel like one is returning home to see an old friend. The Marlins will understand.

The Nats almost went from the ridiculous high of sweeping San Francisco behind the oh so unpredictable arms of Joe Ross and Erick Fedde (plus Anibal Sanchez) to a nightmare weekend in New York.  Stephen Strasburg and Patrick Corbin both pitched well enough, but the bullpen blew up both Friday and Saturday nights and the team was fortunate on Sunday to beat the Mets 7-4.  Juan Soto’s strained ankle is day to day and Max Scherzer remains on the long road back, but for the moment the Nats are still trending upward: 4-2 for the week, 5-4 for the month and 15-13 since the All Star Game.  They won’t go back inside the division until August 30 but will play 21 of their final 30 games against NL East foes.

Digesting the Division- Atlanta remains atop the NL East thanks to a 4-3 week; they’re 70-50 mark is two games better than where last year’s division champs were at this point.  The Nats (62-55) inch to within six and a half games of the lead while the streaking New York Mets (61-57 after a 6-1 week) are eight behind the Braves.  Philadelphia (60-58) drops nine games back after a 2-5 week; they’re 4-7 this month and 13-15 since the All Star Game.  Thank goodness the basement is a few levels down as Miami (44-73) is zeroing in on a tenth straight losing season (after five winning years the previous decade).

The Wild Wildcard Race- Sunday’s win over the Mets kept the Nats a half game ahead of St. Louis for the Wildcard lead; a loss would have dropped the team into a tie with Milwaukee a half game behind the Cardinals and Mets.  Of the five teams in the mix (Philadelphia is just two and a half games behind the Nationals), the Nats own the worst record in one-run decisions (12-18).  The best?  The Brewers are 20-13 in such games.

O’s Woes- the Birds beat back the brooms by outslugging Houston 8-7 thanks to a Rio Ruiz walkoff homer.  The victory ends a five-game losing streak that included a 23-2 rout at the hands of the Astros the night before.  The home run coughed up Sunday was the 241st allowed this year by the Orioles-tying the American League record set by the 1996 Detroit pitching staff.  They’re also 17 homers shy of Cincinnati’s major league record of 258 set three years ago.  This week the Birds battle the New York Yankees- as the current elimination number is eight the O’s could be eliminated from the AL East by Thursday night.

Harper’s Weekly- the former face of the franchise hit .286 with three homers and seven RBI, putting him back on pace to hit .250 with 30 HR and 110 RBI.  He’s also on track to strike out 188 times (he’s currently tied for the  league  lead at 137).  All while the Phillies sink into the Wildcard quicksand.

Last Week’s Heroes- Juan Soto hit .368 with three homers and six RBI while Trea Tuner (.304) and Adam Eaton (.400) each scored seven runs. Erick Fedde and Joe Ross may be the back end of this rotation, but each tossed six scoreless innings at San Francisco.

Last Week’s Humbled- Sean Doolittle and Fernando Rodney had late-inning hiccups Friday and Saturday against the Mets. Brian Dozier went 0-for-14 at the plate while Matt Adams went 5-for-21 with nine strikeouts.

Game to Watch- Wednesday the Nats wrap up their series with Cincinnati as Stephen Strasburg (14-5, 3.72 ERA) faces midseason pickup Trevor Bauer (10-8, 3.74).  It’s also the final game for the Reds in DC, meaning Marty Brennaman will say one last time, “So long, everybody” as he closes the broadcast.  The longtime announcer is calling it a career after 46 years with the team.

Game to Miss- Marty’s final tour distracts the faithful from another disappointing campaign;  the Reds haven’t had a winning record or made the playoffs since 2013 (a Wildcard loss to Pittsburgh).  In his first 23 years at the mic, Cincinnati posted 16 winning records and finished first or second in the division 15 times while winning three World Series (two via sweep).  Over the last 22 and a half years (including this season’s 56-60 start) the Reds have finished over .500 just five times.  Tuesday they pitch Alex Wood, who won 16 games two years ago for the Dodgers but has a 5.65 ERA over three starts.  Watch old videos of the Big Red Machine instead.

The Nationals are almost two thirds of the way through the regular season, and in two days they’ll learn two important things:  how they stacked against divsion-leading Atlanta and how they’ve addressed their issues at the trading deadline.  Yes this is now  no longer the “non-waiver trading deadline” as in previous summers, but the actual hard-line trading deadline.  Unless you’ve been on vacation since mid-March, you probably realize what the Nats’ needs are this late-July (as has been the case most midseasons during this recent run of contention):  the bullpen.  The relief corps has given little relief (a big league-worst 6.04 ERA is 2.63 runs higher than the starters’, the biggest gap in the majors) and for every Sean Doolittle (6-2 with 23 saves and a 2.72 ERA) there’s a Matt Grace (5.93 ERA over 45 appearances) and Kyle Barraclough (6.66 over 33 outings), with experiments like Trevor Rosenthal (don’t get me started) blowing up in their face.  Who will they bring in and at what cost are two key questions this week- because one of the byproducts of contending for the better part of this decade has been that the Nats have been buyers more often than sellers at the expense of the farm system.

 

Digesting the Division-  NL East-leading Atlanta went 2-3 to slip to 62-44 as their lead over the Nationals shrinks to five and a half games.  The Braves have also lost 7 of their last 11.  The Nats (56-49) lead Philadelphia (55-50) by a game;  the Phillies’ 3-2 week saw them almost get swept by the Braves at home.  The New York Mets (50-55) are coming off of a 5-1 week and seemingly look like buyers (Marcus Stroman?).  Even Miami (40-63 after a 4-2 week) is regressing to the mean.

The Wild Wildcard- while technically there’s a three-way tie for two spots, either St. Louis or the Chicago Cubs (or Milwaukee who’s a game off the pace) would grab the NL Central-meaning there are five teams within three games fighting for two spots.  San Francisco (54-52) brings up the rear but just like the Nats has stormed back from being 12 games under .500 to contend.  The Giants were sellers one month ago at 35-47, but after a 19-5 run now might not have bullpen pieces (Mark Melancon) available for rental.

O’s Woes- don’t look now, but the Birds are 8-8 since the All Star Game and at 35-70 are on pace to finish seven full games better than last year’s disaster.  Hats off to outfielder Stevie Wilkerson, who became the first position player in MLB history to save a game last week.  Bats off as well–as the rookie is hitting .223 this year with 11 walks and 72 strikeouts.

Harper’s Weekly- Bryce batted 3-for-19 with 11 strikeouts as his average drops to .254.  The former face of the franchise is on pace to hit 28 homers with 112 RBI.  While he’s likely going to set a career high for doubles (Harper’s got 30 already–eight shy of the 38 he had during the MVP year of 2015) Bryce is also on track to strike out 195 times.

Last Week’s Heroes- Stephen Strasburg went 2-0 while striking out 17 over 13 innings while driving in a run to help his cause Sunday.  For the record, the Sledgehammer has more RBI (6) this month than earned runs allowed (4).  Sean Doolittle saved a pair of games while Patrick Corbin tossed six scoreless innings in his lone outing.  Gerardo Parra hit .667 with 5 RBI and continues to get the DC area exposed to the “Baby Shark” song. Anthony Rendon hit .320 with 9 RBI while Trea Turner batted .367 and scored 6 runs.

Last Week’s Humbled- Howie Kendrick hit 3-for-17 while Juan Soto hit .192 for the week.  The Nats bullpen remains an occasional disaster with Kyle Barraclough (ERA of 27.00) and Tony Sipp (20.25) coughing up leads and Joe Ross (11.57) making shaky spot appearances. Max Scherzer’s back is still not right and he may miss his scheduled start this week against Atlanta.

Game to Watch- Monday the Nats battle the Braves as Patrick Corbin (8-5, 3.25 ERA) faces Dallas Keuchel (3-3, 3.50 ERA after his midseason signing).  With Max Scherzer a question mark and Strasburg not starting in this series, the opener looms even larger.

Game to Miss- Tuesday if Scherzer can’t go, it will likely be another “opener” or “staff” game.  The 21st century has seen a lot of great advances in sports. This is not one of them.

The Nationals wound up splitting their interleague miniseries with the suddenly red-hot (or maybe orange-hot) Orioles before splitting a four game set in Atlanta.  Instead of a 4-2 or 5-1 week what would have been one giant leap in the NL East and Wildcard race the Nats took several small steps.  Which in the grand scheme of things isn’t that bad as the club does lead the NL Wildcard, but the longer they’re unable to make up ground against the Braves the more of a longshot the division race will be.  Which means, in effect, they’ll need to win a one game playoff to make the playoffs.

Digesting the Division- Atlanta remains in front of the pack at 60-41, while the Nats are six and a half games out at 52-46.  Philadelphia is one game behind the Nats after a 4-3 week that includes a split with the Dodgers which involved a pair of high-scoring slugfest wins.  The New York Mets followed up a sweep of AL Central leading Minnesota by dropping three of four to suddenly contending San Francisco and are nine games under .500.  Miami (36-61) got swept by the Dodgers.

The Wild Wildcard Race- the Nats have plenty of company in the battle to snag the fourth or fifth seeed in the NL.  They own a half game lead over Milwaukee, who boast a minus-4 run differential.  One full game back are the Phillies and St. Louis; the Cardinals have won seven of nine.  Arizona and San Francisco are both 50-50 and three games behind the Nats;  the Diamondbacks have the largest run differential (+63) amongst Wildcard contenders while the Giants have won eight of ten.

Harper’s Weekly- the former face of the franchise hit .360 with 5 doubles, a homer and 8 RBI.  He’s now batting .258 and is on pace to belt 47 doubles, 28 homers and drive in 113 runs.  Harper remains on pace for 188 strikeouts.  Just imagine the Phillies without him this summer.

O’s Woes- the Birds are no longer historically bad.  Yes, the last place Orioles are still on pace to pass the 100-loss threshold- but the 51 win pace is so much easier to swallow than potentially winning fewer games than last year’s 47-victory disaster.  Taking two of three from defending World Series Champion Boston adds a feather to their cap as well.  The team is on a 9-9 stretch–if they can continue this .500 pace for the rest of the year they’ll avoid 100 losses which would be a victory in and of itself.

Last Week’s Heroes- Adam Eaton hit 9 for 26 while Anthony Rendon batted .400 with 5 RBI. Victor Robles also drove in five while Brian Dozier scored five runs. Stephen Strasburg went 3-for-3 with a homer and 5 RBI against Atlanta while striking out seven. Sean Doolittle and Tony Sipp tossed scoreless weeks of relief while Eric Fedde and Austin Voth posted ERA’s of 1.50 in their starts.

Last Week’s Humbled- Kyle McGowan (8.10 ERA) and Javy Guerra (13.50) were less than effective out of the bullpen, while Max Scherzer’s back prevented the best pitcher in baseball from starting again.  Ryan Zimmerman’s foot is acting up as well, while Juan Soto (4 for 18) and Matt Adams (4 for 18) had less than ideal weeks at the plate.

Game to Watch- Saturday the Nats host the Los Angeles Dodgers at 4:05 pm. Naturally it will be as hot as possible as it is every year then LA comes to town.  Stephen Strasburg (12-4) ranks fourth in the league in strikeouts and is 14th in ERA while Clayton Kershaw (8-2) is sixth in ERA and 20th in strikeouts.  Brave the heat here…

Game to Miss- the only thing worse than a late-afternoon start in the DC swelter is the early-afternoon Sunday matinee.  The Nats and Dodgers play again at 1:35 pm to wrap up their series.  The pool calls…

The Nats enter the All Star break as the hottest team in the Major Leagues, having won 28 of 39 to move into the Wildcard lead.  But are they that far removed from the team that started 19-31?  Despite taking four of six, the bullpen that was leaky over the first two months still had issues over the weekend.  And despite the cosmetic changes, the relievers’ ERA remains a big league-worst 6.06 while their 18 blown saves is tied for second-most in the majors (behind the flammable Mets).  While getting a healthy lineup (at one point the second through fifth hitters in order were on the Injured List) was a big factor in the team’s turnaround, it didn’t hurt that they’ve built momentum while facing a slew of sub-.500 teams.  When they come back from their midseason hiatus, they’ll face Philadelphia (one-half game back for the Wildcard lead), while division leading Atlanta and the Los Angeles Dodgers also loom later this month.  It’s a long way to October.  But the road looks much more pleasant than it did a month and a half ago.

Digesting the Division- Atlanta after a 4-2 week leads the NL East with a 54-37 mark as they’re well-represented at the All Star Break by Freddie Freeman, who’s batting .309 with 23 HR and 68 RBI, and Ronald Acuna.  The Nats are 47-42 and six games back while leading the Wildcard.  The #2 Wildcard team is Philadelphia at 46-43 after a 3-3 week; J.T. Realmuto heads to Cleveland on the strength of his 10 homers and 42 RBI.  The New York Mets may be 40-50 but they possess the Home Run Derby champ in rookie Pete Alonso, who also has 30 HR at the break.  The Marlins? At 33-55 they’re on track for another 100-loss campaign despite the solid pitching of All Star Sandy Alcantara.

Harper’s Weekly- a .292 week moves Bryce over the .250 mark, and he’s on pace to hit 29 HR with 112 RBI-although for the record he’s played more than 150 games just twice in his career.  He’s also cutting down on his strikeouts-the pace of 189 is no longer league-leading.

O’s Woes- finally an extended run of success.  The Birds won three straight games last week and have won five of nine to improve to 27-62 (.303-or on a 49-win pace).  John Means (7-4, 2.50 ERA) represents the Orioles at the Midsummer Classic.

Last Week’s Heroes- Max Scherzer struck out 11 over seven scoreless innings while going 1-2 at the plate with a stolen base.  Stephen Strasburg K’d 14 over 7.1 scoreless frames.  Patrick Corbin tossed 14 scoreless frames. Sean Doolittle notched two wins plus one save in relief.  Ryan Zimmerman hit .429 with a pair of RBI while Juan Soto hit .333 with four RBI and four runs scored.

Last Week’s Humbled- Yan Gomes hit 1-for-11 while Matt Adams batted 1-for-10 with five strikeouts. Jonny Venters and Fernando Rodney suffered hiccups out of the bullpen while Austin Voth allowed four runs over 4.1 innings in his third Major League start this year.

Games to Watch- Friday, Saturday and Sunday the Nats face the Phillies.  Max Scherzer is already ticketed to pitch the series finale, and one can easily see Stephen Strasburg and Patrick Corbin starting the Friday and Saturday games in some order.  A potential Wildcard Game preview?  I’ll be locked in for all three.