Archives for posts with tag: Braves

The Nationals wrapped up their long journey into nowhere Sunday in Colorado.  The 12-0 loss was the perfect whimper to a season that had shown plenty of promise and problems.  It was fitting that the team finished 82-80 during a season where we saw a ton of potential (a pythagorean record of 90-72) but fail to execute when it mattered (18-24 in one-run games and 4-10 in extra innings).  With the exception of the team’s dominant play in May, it was two steps forward and two steps  back.  Instead of seeing if they can get further in October…the Nats head into winter wondering if they have what it takes to get back to the playoffs.

Clutch Metrics- combining the one-run games record with the Nats extra-inning results is an interesting exercise:  their 22-24 mark is the worst in the NL East–10.5 games behind Atlanta’s 29-20 record in such games.  They finished eight games out.  I know, some extra-inning games are one run affairs, but an extra inning victory or loss should count double towards the “clutch factor”.

Last Week’s Heroes- stars past, present and future reigned as Bryce Harper hit .348 in what could be his final week as a Washington National.  Anthony Rendon actually finished with a higher WAR this year and hit .348 with 2 homers and 9 RBI.  The future is bright with prime prospect Victor Robles batting .467 with a homer and 5 RBI…and Juan Soto hitting a pair of HR while driving in five en route to six and 20 in September (and Rookie of the Month honors).  Max Scherzer struck out 10 in his final start of the season, finishing with 300 on the season.

Last Week’s Humbled- Austen Williams, Tim Collins and Jefry Rodriguez each had ERA’s in the double digits, but Sammy Solis wrapped up a rough 2018 with an infinity week- no outs recorded and a home run surrendered in his only outing.  The first base tandem of Ryan Zimmerman and Matt Reynolds combined to hit 3-for-21.  Wilmer Difo hit .143 to wrap up a .191 September.  Upon further review- Difo had the fifth most at-bats on the Nats this year.  That is just one reason why the Nats are home in October.

Who could be Gone:  Bryce Harper isn’t the only National with an expiring contract.  Matt Wieters, Greg Holland, Kelvin Herrera, Jeremy Hellickson and Joaquin Benoit all come off the books this winter.  One would think that Wieters might be the only one to come back out of that pack.  The crowded outfield of Robles, Soto and a presumably healthy Adam Eaton could give cause for the trading of Michael A. Taylor-especially if Harper re-signs.

 

Opening Day Lineup for 2019?  If Bryce Harper departs…

RF- Adam Eaton- hopefully Mighty Mouse will be healthy…as he was limited to 95 games this year and even when he played seem a gear or two shy of what he showed in April 2017.

SS- Trea Turner- one needs his speed close to the top of the order…although I’m tempted to put Victor Robles in this spot.

3B- Anthony Rendon- the best overall hitter in this lineup the last two seasons…this is where you put that guy.

LF- Juan Soto- the 19-year old performed beyond expectations…can he duplicate a season for the ages?  Or at least avoid a sophomore slump?

1B- Ryan Zimmerman with Mark Reynolds- Zim when healthy is still a dangerous player–but the veteran’s been limited to fewer than 120 games in four of the last five seasons.

CF- Victor Robles with Michael A. Taylor- if Soto’s 116 games is a small sample size, then what to make of the prime prospect’s 59 at-bats?  And can Taylor’s bat (.176 after the All Star Break) catch up to his glove?

C- Matt Wieters…and Spencer Kieboom?- is this the duo the Nats want, the tandem they need or the combination they’ll have to settle for?  And if Wieters walks, who comes to DC?

2B- Wilmer Difo/Adrian Sanchez/Howie Kendrick- can the veteran come back from his torn Achilles?  If so, he switches spots with Robles.  If not, this position bats eighth and tries to outhit Max Scherzer.

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NL East and Wildcard contention officially ended this past weekend for the Washington Nationals.  It’s mop-up time on South Capitol Street–and the team with a ton of talent but just enough shortcomings prepares to watch October from their couches.  Now the focus is finishing above .500 for a seventh straight season…and award season.

Dissecting the Division- the Nats can still finish second…because flailing Philadelphia proved that they were actually a year away down the stretch.  Four straight losses drops the Phils one half game ahead of the Nationals.  The Nationals can still finish fourth…if they lose out and the Mets win the remainder of their games.  Meanwhile, the NL East becomes the Braves’ new world.

O’s Woes- it’s one thing to finish last. Another to post 100+ wins.  But the Birds blew by the team record of 107 losses and will likely break the St. Louis Browns’ franchise record 111 set in 1939.

Last Week’s Heroes- Anthony Rendon hit .435 with 8 RBI while Trea Turner bats .429 with 8 runs scored.  Prime prospect Victor Robles hit .292 with 2 homers.  Max Scherzer struck out 13 in his lone start while Stephen Strasburg continues his strong second half-(3-0 with a 2.64 ERA over his last five starts).

Last Week’s Humbled- two less than ideal starts for Eric Fedde: 5 runs allowed over 7.2 innings.  Jimmy Cordero, Koda Glover and Wander Suero posted ERA’s of 8+.  Wilmer Difo hit .125 while Juan Soto turned into a 19-year old rookie, batting .087 with 5 strikeouts.

Games to Watch- Monday night Stephen Strasburg makes his final home start of the season while Max Scherzer takes his turn Tuesday.  Wednesday in the home finale we could be witnessing the last time Bryce Harper dons the Nats’ #34.  It’s been quite a ride if this is the end.

Game to Miss- Saturday they visit Colorado and play at 8:10 p.m…right around the time I’m flipping between Stanford-Notre Dame and Ohio State-Penn State.

 

 

This year’s Washington Nationals have never made things easy for us.  The sluggish start that turned into a memorable May before fizzling out in a summer of discontent.  The constantly playing tag with the .500 mark when the window of opportunity still existed.  The frustrating lack of moves at the deadline.  The slow slide from contender to pretender status.  The shedding of talent in August.  A September that’s seen the team play just well enough to stay hanging by a thread in the NL East (7.5 games back) and Wildcard (8 games) races.  All that’s left for this team is experiencing the actual moment of elimination and the chasing of milestones.

Bryce Harper:  three runs away from reaching 100 for the first time since the MVP season, two doubles away from reaching 30, three RBI away from getting to the century mark for the first time in his career.

Trea Turner: three homers away from getting to 20 and eight runs away from reaching 100-both would be career highs.  He’s one double shy of last year’s career high 24 and is seven stolen bases away from equalling the 46 tallied in 2017.

Anthony Rendon: one double away from tying last year’s career high of 41.

Wilmer Difo: three triples away from 10…although the way he’s hitting in September (.237) I’m not holding  my breath.

Max Scherzer: 20 wins is out of the question, but he needs just seven strikeouts to tie his career high of 284.

Tanner Roark: despite the nightmare season he’s one win shy of reaching double-digits.  He’ll likely have two more starts.

Stephen Strasburg:  two wins away from 10…with three starts left in the season. It’d be a nice way to end a year interrupted by injury.

Dissecting the Division- Atlanta leads Philadelphia by six and a half games with 13 games remaining for the Braves while the Phillies have 14 games left in their season.  The two teams tangle seven times over the final two weeks of the year, starting Thursday in Atlanta.  Meaning the division could be clinched by Sunday night.  The Nats have to hope for the Braves to bomb with the Phillies losing the bulk of the rest of their games–not an impossible order as we’ve seen both teams struggle lately.

Last Week’s Heroes- Juan Soto hit .393 with four homers and eight RBI…as the 19-year old passes his age with his 20th HR.  Spencer Kieboom hit his first two big league home runs.  Eric Fedde struck out nine over five and two-thirds innings.  Sean Doolittle tallied two saves and rode the bullpen cart.

Last Week’s Humbled- Max Scherzer’s drive for 20 wins ended when he allowed six runs over four innings against Atlanta…and prevented a potential sweep of the Braves that would put the Nats within seven games of the lead.  Sammy Solis and Jimmy Cordero cared 10+ ERA’s…again.  Adam Eaton hit .167 while Wilmer Difo batted .143.

Game to Watch- Friday the Nats host the New York Mets as Max Scherzer battles Jacob deGrom in a showdown of the top two Cy Young contenders.  Scherzer is 17-7 with a league-high 277 strikeouts and an ERA of 2.53;  deGrom is 8-9 with 251 strikeouts and an MLB-best 1.78 ERA.

Game to Miss- Monday the Nats begin their series in Miami with Eric Fedde dueling Trevor Richards:  the duo are a combined 5-11 (not to good) on the season and each has an ERA that’s well over four.  Enjoy “Better Call Saul”…

The Washington Nationals reach Labor Day one game under .500, eight games back in the Wildcard race and eight and a half games off the pace in the NL East.  The worst record to win the NL East this decade is 90-72; in order to get there this team would need to finish 22-3.  As they pass the final marker of the regular season, it’s hard to imagine this team was nine games over .500 on Memorial Day.  Instead of the season ending with a bang, it’s going to end with a whimper in 25 games.

Gio Gone- two more waiver-wire deals on August 31 saw the Nats part with reliever Ryan Madson and starter Gio Gonzalez.  In his seven seasons with the team Gio went 86-65 with an ERA of 3.71; his best year came in his first with the team (21-8, 2.89 in 2012).  The lefthander was a mainstay in the rotation (averaging 30+ starts per year) and his departure means that just Ryan Zimmerman, Bryce Harper and Stephen Strasburg are still around from the 2012 team that first reached the postseason.  With Harper and five other players on the current roster hitting free agency this fall, the winds of change could certainly be hitting Washington this winter.

Dissecting the Division- Atlanta leads Philadelphia by four games.  While the two will meet seven times over the final eleven days of the season, the Phillies play 15 of their other 19 remaining games against clubs with losing records (for the Braves its 10/19).

O’s Woes-  enter another tragic number for the Birds after the sweep by Kansas City over the week:  last place in the AL East can be secured with a combination of four losses or Toronto wins.  Lost in the shuffle is the fact that Trey Mancini has had a decent second half for the O’s (.299 with nine homers and 24 RBI in 40 games since the All Star break) while Chris Davis is hitting 62 points higher since this mid-summer hiatus.

Last Week’s Heroes- Juan Soto hit .478 with a team-high six RBI and Anthony Rendon led the Nats with six runs scored and added four RBI.  Stephen Strasburg struck out 12 over 12 innings while posting an ERA of 3.00 and Matt Grace Koda Glover each tossed three scoreless frames.

Last Week’s Humbled- Gio Gonzalez’ last start in a Nats uniform was not awesome as the lefthander allowed six runs over five innings against the Phillies.  His August was not ideal: 1-4 with a 7.47 ERA over six starts.  Matt Wieters hit .133 while Bryce Harper batted .125.

Game to Watch- Saturday Max Scherzer pitches against the Cubs Cole Hamels at Nats Park.  With 25 games left in the season Max has potentially five starts remaining…and one should try to see every last inning of his campaign.  As today is the final day most area pools are open, the Saturday night game takes precedence.

Game to Miss- the Nats have yet to name a starter for Sunday’s game against the Cubs. It’s also the first Sunday of the NFL regular season.  Enjoy the games…

 

 

The Nationals entered the season as the team to beat in the NL East. But after posting losing records in April, June and July the Nats instead of being the pursued are the pursuers.  Yes, they still have 16 games remaining against Atlanta and Philadelphia but with every day a little bit of sand slips through the division hourglass.  They’re currently in a stretch of five games over three days thanks to the summer weather, and while the rotation appears to be finding itself Stephen Strasburg remains on the disabled list.  Like sands through the hourglass…

Let’s Make a Deal? Minimal movement at the non-waiver trading deadline for the Nationals who opted not to bring in a starting pitcher nor a catcher.  Instead they dealt middle reliever Brandon Kintzler to the Cubs for a minor leaguer.  The challenge to a team that’s played under its abilities for four months:  bring it.  Since that vote of confidence they’ve gone 5-1, which given the fact they played a pair of last-place teams is what they needed to do to stay relevant in the race.

Dissecting the Division- the Nats begin the week five and a half games behind Philadelphia and five games behind Atlanta.  Everybody’s schedule ratchets up a little bit in August as the Phils face division-leading Boston and Arizona, the Braves battle Wildcard contenders Milwaukee and Colorado and the Nats play their next 11 games against clubs with winning records.  Miami has taken a one-game lead over the New York Mets for the East Division Cellar…with both team’s offenses offensive in the wrong way. The Marlins and Mets are tied for 26th in the Majors in runs scored–and at least Miami is consistent in that the team that Derek Jeter blew up ranks 26th in team ERA.

O’s Woes- how will the Dog Days affect the Birds?  So far they’re 2-3 this month…which at .400 is actually an improvement of their full body of work (gulp!-.304).  They’re four losses away from clinching a second straight losing record and the O’s “Tragic Number” is six.  The Wildcard elimination number is 16—and that’s with Oakland not losing games to Seattle.  Last week saw multiple deals at the deadline as the Birds are in rebuild mode.  The final July haul:  14 prospects plus a major leaguer for five guys either with expiring deals or not in the long-tearm plans of the club.  The watered down bunch needs to finish 29-21 to avoid a 100-loss campaign, a tough task for a team that had just 28 wins at the All Star break.  A much more reasonable 21-29 finish means they avoid the worst record in team history (1988).

Last Week’s Heroes- Bryce Harper hit .476 with six runs and six RBI while Trea Turner tallied six stolen bases.  Max Scherzer struck out his customary 10 while Tanner Roark appears to have found himself, going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA-which is impressive until you realize it took him less than a month to grow his hair and beard back after shaving in early July.  Those are mad skills.

Last Week’s Humbled- Shawn Kelley not only allowed a three-run homer in the ninth inning of Tuesday’s 25-4 rout of the Mets, but the reliever slammed his glove on the mound and reportedly glared into the dugout.  Unfortunately for the Nats front office that was enough as they designated the right-hander for assignment the next day.  Kids, nothing good comes out of a tantrum.

Game to Watch- Tuesday night Max Scherzer brings his 15-5 mark to the mound in search for his sixth straight victory.  In a year with an injury-mangled lineup and a scrambled rotation, Scherzer has been the one constant-with the exception of his April loss in Atlanta the righthander has been spot-on.

Game to Miss- Tuesday afternoon Jefry Rodriguez makes his fourth Major League start against Atlanta’s Max Fried.  While the Braves’ starter’s name is pronounced “freed” he’s off to a “fried” 1-4 start in 2018.  Smart fans should nap by the pool to gear up for the evening affair.

The Midsummer Classic is upon us, even though it’s not technically in the middle of summer (technically that’s around August 7 or 8) or even in the actual midseason (a few weeks ago) but it gives us a chance to take a break.  And the Nats could use one…last week they had seven games with sub-500 squads in Pittsburgh and the New York Mets.  A team looking to enter the hiatus on a strong note would win five of seven…and instead they were lucky to win three.  While the offense has improved (9th in runs in July), the pitching has begun to spring leaks (25th in team ERA this month).  It’s beginning to feel as though the odor of 2013 and 2015 when defending division champs underachieved their way out of contention is back.  It’s not longer early as just under 60% of the schedule has been played. Max Scherzer likely has only 12-13 starts remaining in the season.  And the deficit isn’t shrinking.  Gimme a break?  One break…coming up.

Dissecting the Division- Philadelphia despite losing consecutive games to Miami still stand atop the division one half game ahead of Atlanta and five and a half ahead of the Nats.  The Phillies are here because of pitching:  they rank fourth in quality starts and are 11th in team ERA while having major issues at the plate.  They’re 26th in MLB in hitting and 21st in runs scored.  The Braves boast a little better balance:  8th in runs scored and 10th in team ERA.  Meanwhile the Marlins and Mets played spoiler by snatching games from the Nats and Phillies over the weekend…remaining in a tie for last place.  We’ll be by with tragic elimination numbers at the appropriate time.

O’s Woes- the Birds won their first series at home since taking three of four from Tampa Bay Mother’s Day weekend.  Still, the 28-69 slide has the club inhaling elimination fumes: the tragic number is now 26 (Red Sox wins + Oriole losses) and the Manny Machado departure countdown is in full force. Philadelphia, the Dodgers and even Milwaukee is in the mix.  Manny was asked at the All Star Game’s media availability what the strangest rumor he’s heard was and replied– “the Giants.  The Tokyo Giants…”.  Regardless, the end of an era looms and one wonders what is next for this franchise and the key figures in the management team.

Last Week’s Heroes- Daniel Murphy hit .533 while Adam Eaton batted .458 andAnthony Rendon led the team with 3 HR and 6 RBI.  Jeremy Hellickson won both of his starts while finishing with an ERA of 0.82 and Max Scherzer won his second straight.

Last Week’s Humbled- Jefry Rodriguez and Austin Voth allowed 13 runs over 9.1 innings in their starts.  They’re not ready for the Major League level and while that is to be understood, the middle of a pennant race with the Nats losing ground is not where you want to see these guys earn their stripes.  Trea Turner hit .115 while Bryce Harper batted .167 with 11 strikeouts in 24 at-bats.

Game to Watch- well with only three games on the slate I’m going with the series opener against Atlanta Friday.  Will Stephen Strasburg finally make his return from the DL?  Since he went on the shelf the starters are a combined 4-20 with an ERA I’d rather not disclose.  If he doesn’t make the start, this is still a huge game as the Nats need to make a dent into the Phillies’ lead–and they have to get past the Braves first..

Game to Miss- the series with the Braves wraps up Sunday with a 1:35 start on a day when the British Open (or “Open Championship” if you insist) wraps up.  Unless it’s a Scherzer start, I’m out.

It’s a shame that Major League Baseball doesn’t use aggregate runs to determine series victors.  The Nationals dropped three of four games in Philadelphia and while they won 17-7 Friday night, their three losses were each by one run.  They also dropped a 1-0 game in Tampa Bay last Tuesday…making the team 8-15 in one run affairs this year.  The team’s bad showing in nailbiters magnifies bad base-running and sub-par situational hitting while making dry patches at the plate seem like deserts.  An 8-15 showing in one run games turns banged up players absences into major voids.  The Nats are 42-40 and have the feel of an 8th seed in the NBA Playoffs at this point…and while there’s plenty of baseball ahead the team’s worst month (9-16) since 2010 is looking like less of an aberration and more like the norm.

Werth Every Penny- last week Jayson Werth announced his retirement.  The 39-year old was hitting .206 over 36 games with Seattle’s Triple-A team this season, and hamstring issues put him on the road to calling it a career.  While he never hit 30 homers or drove in 90 runs and the Nats never won a playoff series in his seven years with the team, the free agent paid 126 million dollars produced big-time.  Werth brought a veteran presence and changed the clubhouse immediately while giving the team new ideas and a vision of how to handle itself.  Werth challenged his teammates and management.  He also made DC a free agent destination for the likes of Max Scherzer and Daniel Murphy.  Most importantly, the cantankerous individual was never a dull moment in postgame interviews.  Even though he didn’t return to the team in 2018, his fingerprints are all over this club.  Bye bye, beard…

Dissecting the Division- Atlanta (48-34) finally has a little breathing room after sweeping St. Louis.  The Braves own a three game lead over Philadelphia (45-37);  both are dominating one-run games this year (ATL is 13-6 while PHI is 17-7).  The Nats? A head-scratching 8-15 in one-run contests.  Meanwhile, the New York Mets and Miami are in an interesting race for the division cellar.

O’s Woes- the Birds avoided a sweep by blasting the Los Angeles Angels 8-2 Sunday.  Everything that hadn’t come together over the first three months of the season was there: Kevin Gausman tossed eight solid innings while the lineup produced four home runs.  The win now means they no longer need a .500 finish to avoid a 100-loss campaign; although they do need to go 39-40-a tall task for a team that hasn’t been one game under .500 since April 1st.  Also notable was the timing of the victory:  the Orioles’ last three wins at Camden Yards have taken place on Mother’s Day, Father’s Day and now Canada Day.  Book it for Bastille Day:  July 14th they host Texas.

Last Week’s Heroes- Trea Turner hits .375 while scoring seven runs.  Anthony Rendon scores four runs while driving in five.  Bryce Harper walks 10 times and posts an on-base percentage of .481.  Max Scherzer and Tanner Roark notch solid starts while Sean Doolittle remains sharp.

Last Week’s Humbled- Gio Gonzalez had two rough starts, allowing nine runs over six innings.  Michael A. Taylor batted 1-for-14 while Pedro Severino went 1-for-13.  Both players make their impact defensively but each needs to hit over .100 to make this work.

Game to Watch- the week begins with a bang as Boston drops by the district Monday.  Max Scherzer (10-4, 2.04 ERA) faces his former teammate Rick Porcello (9-3, 3.60).  The Red Sox are smarting after two tough losses in their series with the New York Yankees. Could the Nats catch a Sox team with their mind still in the Bronx?

Game to Miss- Sunday Tanner Roark (3-9 with a 4.10 ERA but a 6.08 ERA in June) pitches against Miami’s Elieser Hernandez (0-5, 5.05) at 1:35 p.m. in the DC heat.  How hot is Washington in July?  President Zachary Taylor died after having cherries and milk in 1850 (urban legend says there may have been arsenic in the mix).  Go to the pool and enjoy the crossword.